In addition to the crime rate, it is important to know how many victims there are and to be able to profile them based on their personal, family and social characteristics and any other risk factors, in order to better manage community safety policy.
The data on recorded crime from the Ministry of the Interior does not allow this kind of information to be extracted. A supplement that partially fills the gap is furnished by the study on citizen safety
(Note 4) carried out at family level by Italy's National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT). It intended to investigate victimisation in Italy, if people had one or more crimes committed against them and what kind, perceived safety and how fear of being a victim of crime has a negative impact on the quality of life, limiting tranquillity and freedom to the point that people change their everyday behaviour and habits. The study has made it possible to explore crime from the point of view of its victims; since it is based on personal interviews with families, it has the strength of bringing to light hidden crime, that is those crimes that are not reported by victims to the authorities.
However, even the results gathered in this manner do not represent a precise measure of the crime level. The answers of the participants may be distorted or contain mistakes, even if involuntarily. This is mainly because of a reluctance to talk about their experience as victims, especially for certain kinds of crime, and this leads to errors due to faulty memory or an altered perception of the event. For all of these reasons, the results of this analysis do not always coincide with those from the authorities, such as the Ministry of the Interior figures on recorded crime discussed above.
Numerous crime indicators can be extracted from victim data; below particular attention is given to indices of frequency, that is to say the percentage of victims in the population based on crimes committed in the twelve months before the interview. As regards the kinds of crime studied, it distinguishes between violent crime against individuals and that against families; in the latter case, the person interviewed spoke in the name of his/her family about acts that involved other family members.
Crimes against individuals include bag-snatching, pickpocketing and theft of personal possessions, below defined as crimes against property, and violent crimes, that is robbery, threats and assaults. Cases of rape, however, are not included, as the seriousness of the crime, the kind of violence and the context in which it occurs would require specific study. At family level, the crimes were predominantly damage and theft from homes and motor vehicles
(Note 5).
In 2008-2009, 5.7% of the Italian population aged 14 years and over declared they had been a victim of at least one incident of bag-snatching, pickpocketing, and theft of personal possessions, or of a violent crime, such as robbery, threats and assaults, in the 12 months before the interview. If crimes against the family are considered, on average there are 16 victims per 100 inhabitants.
At regional level, Veneto is ranked in the middle, with 4.6% of individuals being victims and 14.1% of families, both values below the national average. The rankings again indicate the regions with the largest cities as the ones with the highest levels of crime, while Valle d'Aosta ranks first among the regions with the lowest percentage of victims.
(Figure 10.3.1)
In comparison with 2002
(Note 6), the percentage of victims remains basically constant for crimes against individuals, while a clear decline in crimes against families was recorded. The families who were victims of crimes against their homes decreased, especially in the North West and in the South, while those reporting crimes against vehicles declined in the North East as well. Even though in decline, the percentage in the Central regions remained above the Italian average for all kinds of crime against families.
Veneto is not significantly different from the situation in the North East, for both the level of victims and for the size of the variation over the time periods examined. The highest victimisation rates for families can be attributed primarily to crimes involving vehicles: although 10% of Veneto families declare they have been victim of at least one crime of this kind, the percentage is cut in half for crimes against their homes. At individual level, victimisation most often involves crimes against property rather than violent crime: while the latter affect 1.4% of the Veneto population aged 14 years or older, the former involve 3.4 people per 100 inhabitants.
(Table 10.3.1)
Compared to the results derived from crimes reported by the police to the courts, the analysis based on victim statements paints a slightly different picture of Italy's regions; for example, it resizes the position of Emilia Romagna, Piemonte and Toscana, which have among the highest rates of recorded crimes, viceversa for the risk of victimisation in the regions of Lazio and, especially, Campania. On the other hand, there is a higher tendency to report crime in the North than in the South and the amount of hidden crime varies greatly according to the kind and outcome of the crime. The hidden number of crimes is greater for street crime, such as pickpocketing, bag-snatching or theft of personal possessions and bicycles, and is particularly high for rape; on the other hand it is lower, perhaps inexistent, for more serious or heinous crimes and for those in which a report is necessary to make an insurance claim, such as theft from flats or of vehicles.
The reasons which influence the propensity to report are varied. In addition to the seriousness of the crime and the economic or physical damage suffered, certainly citizens also evaluate the direct or indirect consequences to which they think they are exposed when they decide to report a crime, and this also has an effect. For example, the rapport between the public and the authorities, and confidence in the public safety system both have an influence.
For Veneto, what emerges from the analysis of the ISTAT victimisation study does not seem to be too far from what is found from the crimes reported to the Ministry of the Interior.
(Figure 10.3.2) and
(Figure 10.3.3)
The outcome of crimes
Generally, committed crimes, that is according to the penal code, the criminal act in which the perpetrator was able to achieve the intended result, are reported more often than those merely attempted. Attempted crimes, even if slight, can still have negative consequences for victims, undermining their psychological state and feeding their fears and sense of insecurity.
The ISTAT study on families also provides estimates for the frequency of both forms of crime, because the victims were asked to distinguish between committed and attempted crime. This distinction is clearly admissible only for some crimes, i.e. all of those against personal property and robberies
(Note 7), as well as theft from homes and vehicles, for which the thief was unable to obtain the things he/she intended to steal. It makes no sense to talk about attempted crimes involving threats, assault, acts of vandalism and unlawful entry into homes.
(Table 10.3.2)
The relationship between committed crimes and the total of recorded crime, both committed and attempted, determines the probability of "success" for those that commit crime. Overall, committed crimes are the majority, even though the probability of success varies according to the kind of crime. It is highest for crimes against personal property and declines with the seriousness of the crime, with the involvement of the victim and, obviously, the precautions made to protect property. It varies greatly geographically, especially for burglary and vehicle theft. The latter is successful only in one out of two cases in the South and the Islands and nearly three out of four cases in the North East. These differences, in any case, should not be attributed to the greater or lesser ability of victims to defend themselves; if it is kept in mind that the estimates derive from the interviewees' answers, some people are prone to report only committed crimes, willingly leaving aside attempted crime because they did not have serious consequences.
Keeping these considerations in mind, it is observed that in Veneto the probability of success is very high both for vehicle theft and for property crime, whilst, on the other hand, it is among the lowest for burglary.
A particularly serious and worrying aspect is crime being repeatedly committed against the same victim. Again thanks to the victimisation studies, it is possible to uncover that a large part of crime is concentrated on a rather small number of victims; in fact there is a part of the population that is particularly fragile that seems to be exposed to the risk of being a repeat victim of the same crime or a variety of crimes.
(Table 10.3.3)
In Veneto, in a relatively short period of time, 23% of the victims say they have suffered more than one crime against people, that is 10 people per 1,000 inhabitants, and they are the victims of nearly half of all criminal acts.
Generally, where crime is more widespread in terms of frequency, that is to say as a percentage of victims in the population, the level of multiple victimisation is even greater, and among the regions it varies from a 9% low in Umbria to a 30% high in Lazio, where therefore nearly one third of all victims have experienced more than one criminal act.
Multiple victimisation is even more troubling if we consider that it occurs more frequently, nearly twice as often, for violent crimes compared to property crimes. In Italy, for example, 42.3% of the victims of threats are repeat victims, whilst the corresponding figure for all crimes is 23.6%.
(Table 10.3.4)
The phenomenon is greater for crimes against the family, with it striking 63 families per 1,000 and 39% of victims. In Veneto the share of multiple victimisation, that is of more frequently targeted families, is equal to 28.5% of victims, the second lowest value after Valle d'Aosta, and well short of that recorded for the rest of Italy, especially in the Southern regions. Furthermore, although at national level more repeat crimes are committed against vehicles than against homes, in Veneto there is no significant difference between the two.
For crimes against homes, several characteristics of the housing itself are significant, especially those that reflect the wealth of the family and that, therefore, may be more attractive to people with bad intentions; for crimes against vehicles, the number of cars, motorcycles and bicycles owned by the family has a clear influence on multiple victimisation.